How it finished
Lincoln City beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Preston North End had 11 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Preston North End vs Lincoln City?
Lincoln City beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Preston North End had 11 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Preston North End vs Lincoln City?
Preston North End 0–1 Lincoln City, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 37%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 36%.
What were the stats in Preston North End vs Lincoln City?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.7, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 1–1, Corners 16–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Lincoln City?
No. It finished 0–1, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Preston North End vs Lincoln City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Preston North End or draw 64%, it finished Lincoln City won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.