Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Wednesday 17 Jun, 17:00 UTC

Portugal vs Congo DR — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 2.5 goals
Model 70.9% · @ 1.41
VALUE
Both teams to score
Model 46.8% · @ 2.14
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 22.2% · @ 4.50
BAWL OUT
Fewer than 11 corners + Over 2.5 goals + Rafael Leão 1+ Shot on Target + Portugal to win
Model 21.6% · @ 4.64x

Star picks · player props

2 picks
Anytime Scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal · Al Nassr
52%@ 1.92x fair
Anytime Scorer
Rafael Leão
Portugal · AC Milan
36%@ 2.78x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly