Partizan Belgrade beat Getafe 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Partizan Belgrade 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Partizan Belgrade had 18 shots (4 on target) to Getafe's 9 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Partizan Belgrade beat Getafe 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Partizan Belgrade 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Partizan Belgrade had 18 shots (4 on target) to Getafe's 9 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.6.
Partizan Belgrade 2–1 Getafe, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Partizan Belgrade 28%, the draw 28% and Getafe 44%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.6, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 3–2, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–5.
Yes — both Partizan Belgrade and Getafe scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Getafe or draw 72%, it finished Partizan Belgrade won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.