Parma vs Cagliari prediction — Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Parma 35Draw 30Cagliari 35
The call
66%
Over 1.5 goals
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

ParmaFull-time statsCagliari
47%Possession53%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
12Shots14
2Shots on target5
6Shots inside box9
2Big chances2
3Corners2
4Saves2
6Fouls20
1Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCagliari 35%Cagliari (35% called)
Total goals2.31
Both teams to score46%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 66%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals80%
Cagliari to score68%
Parma to score68%
Over 1.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PAR 0 · D 2 · CAG 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Parma 1–1 Cagliari
Sept 2025Cagliari 2–0 Parma
Feb 2025Cagliari 2–1 Parma
Sept 2024Parma 2–3 Cagliari
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Parma vs Cagliari?

Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Parma vs Cagliari?

Parma 0–1 Cagliari, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Parma 35%, the draw 30% and Cagliari 35%.

What were the stats in Parma vs Cagliari?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 12–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Parma vs Cagliari?

No. It finished 0–1, so Parma failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Parma vs Cagliari right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Cagliari 35%, it finished Cagliari (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 66%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Parma form →Cagliari form →