Match prediction·Spain: La Liga·Monday 24 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Osasuna vs Levante

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
54.5% home26.0% draw19.5% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
OsasunastepLevante
1.78Base xG · rolling 26-match0.95
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.78Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.95

Osasuna average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Levante average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
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6
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12
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home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Osasuna fixtures & form →Levante fixtures & form →

Osasuna vs Levante — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 8 May 2026, Osasuna have won 0, Levante have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
8 May 2026Levante 3–2 OsasunaSpain: La Liga

The model's verdict for this fixture: Osasuna 54% · draw 26% · Levante 20%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Osasuna predictions & form →Levante predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.