OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière prediction — Pro League · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Pro League · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
OH Leuven 43Draw 27RAAL La Louvière 30
The call
70%
OH Leuven or draw
2.7
Goals expected
14d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

OH Leuven to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals72%
RAAL La Louvière to score69%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

OH Leuven
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Mathieu Maertens
MF · 3.0 shots expected
95%
59%
22%
Abdoul Traoré
FW · 3.0 shots expected
95%
60%
23%
Kyan Vaesen
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
64%
27%
Sory Kaba
FW · 2.3 shots expected
90%
56%
20%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
FW · 2.3 shots expected
90%
61%
24%
Youssef Maziz
MF · 1.9 shots expected
86%
38%
9%
RAAL La Louvière
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Pape Moussa Fall
FW · 2.6 shots expected
92%
62%
25%
Jerry Afriyie
FW · 1.6 shots expected
80%
52%
17%
Nolan Gillot
MF · 1.6 shots expected
80%
37%
8%
Owen Maës
MF · 1.1 shots expected
65%
30%
5%
Thierry Lutonda
MF · 0.9 shots expected
60%
26%
4%
Jordi Liongola
MF · 0.9 shots expected
59%
20%
2%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L L L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5OHO 0 · D 1 · RAA 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Dec 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 OH Leuven
Sept 2025OH Leuven 1–2 RAAL La Louvière
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Common questions

Who will win OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière?

Bawler's model rates this match: OH Leuven are favoured (43% win probability vs 30% for RAAL La Louvière, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is OH Leuven 1-1 RAAL La Louvière (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.67.

How does Bawler predict OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives OH Leuven 43%, the draw 27% and RAAL La Louvière 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière?

BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.48 and away expected goals 1.18.

Over or under 2.5 goals in OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.67. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →OH Leuven form →RAAL La Louvière form →