How it finished
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 52%, the draw 25% and Leeds United 23%.
What were the stats in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
No. It finished 0–1, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Nottingham Forest 52%, it finished Leeds United (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 61%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.