Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Saturday 11 Jul, 21:00 UTC

Norway vs England — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 70.9% · @ 1.41
VALUE
England to win
Model 50.6% · @ 1.98
DARK HORSE
Norway to win
Model 25.5% · @ 3.92
BAWL OUT
23+ shots in the match + Over 1.5 goals + Alexander Sørloth 1+ Shot
Model 32.5% · @ 3.07x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Erling Haaland
Norway · Man City
62%@ 1.61x fair
Anytime Scorer
Harry Kane
England · Bayern Munich
60%@ 1.67x fair
Anytime Scorer
Alexander Sørloth
Norway · Atletico Madrid
42%@ 2.38x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly