NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 19:15 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 19:15 UK
NK Celje 40Draw 28Ararat-Armenia 32
The call
68%
NK Celje or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

NK Celje beat Ararat-Armenia 2–0. Bawler's model had NK Celje in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. NK Celje had 18 shots (8 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 8 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%.

NK CeljeFull-time statsArarat-Armenia
57%Possession43%
18Shots8
8Shots on target3
12Corners9
16Fouls15
3Offsides1
5Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNK Celje 40%NK Celje (40% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%No
Model callNK Celje or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
NK Celje to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Ararat-Armenia to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

NK Celje beat Ararat-Armenia 2–0. Bawler's model had NK Celje in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. NK Celje had 18 shots (8 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 8 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%.

What was the final score in NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

NK Celje 2–0 Ararat-Armenia, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with NK Celje 40%, the draw 28% and Ararat-Armenia 32%.

What were the stats in NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 8–3, Corners 12–9, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 5–3.

Did both teams score in NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

No. It finished 2–0, so Ararat-Armenia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said NK Celje 40%, it finished NK Celje (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said NK Celje or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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