FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
NK Celje 2–0 Ararat-ArmeniaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had NK Celje at 40%, draw at 28%, Ararat-Armenia at 32%. The match ended 2-0 — confirming the model's lean toward NK Celje.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Celje win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Ararat-Armenia win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
NK Celje or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost