FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
NK Celje 1–2 Slovan BratislavaMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was NK Celje or draw at 82%. Bawler had NK Celje at 59%, the draw at 23% and Slovan Bratislava at 18%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
NK Celje win
59%
Draw
23%
Slovan Bratislava win
18%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
NK Celje or draw
Pre-match: 82%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.