Nice vs Lorient prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Nice 36Draw 27Lorient 37
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

NiceFull-time statsLorient
60%Possession40%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
14Shots10
1Shots on target2
8Shots inside box8
1Big chances5
9Corners3
2Saves1
15Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLorient 37%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals76%
Lorient to score75%
Nice to score74%
Under 3.5 goals70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NIC 1 · D 3 · LOR 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Mar 2026Lorient 0–0 Nice
Feb 2026Nice 3–3 Lorient
Nov 2025Lorient 3–1 Nice
Apr 2024Nice 3–0 Lorient
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nice vs Lorient?

Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Nice vs Lorient?

Nice 0–0 Lorient, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 36%, the draw 27% and Lorient 37%.

What were the stats in Nice vs Lorient?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Nice vs Lorient?

No. It finished 0–0, so Nice failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nice vs Lorient right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lorient 37%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Nice form →Lorient form →