Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Saturday 20 Jun, 17:00 UTC
Netherlands vs Sweden — picks
Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.
BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 76.9% · @ 1.30
VALUE
Netherlands or draw
Model 65.7% · @ 1.52
DARK HORSE
Under 2.5 goals
Model 25.0% · @ 4.01
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + 9 or more corners + Cody Gakpo 5+ Shots + Netherlands to win
Model 11.6% · @ 8.61x
Star picks · player props
top 3Anytime Scorer
Viktor Gyökeres
Sweden · Arsenal
58%@ 1.72x fair
Anytime Scorer
Alexander Isak
Sweden · Liverpool
52%@ 1.92x fair
Anytime Scorer
Cody Gakpo
Netherlands · Liverpool
42%@ 2.38x fair
Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly