Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Sunday 14 Jun, 20:00 UTC

Netherlands vs Japan — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 74.6% · @ 1.34
VALUE
Japan or draw
Model 54.5% · @ 1.83
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 27.4% · @ 3.65
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + Fewer than 11 corners + Netherlands or draw
Model 32.7% · @ 3.06x

Star picks · player props

2 picks
Anytime Scorer
Cody Gakpo
Netherlands · Liverpool
42%@ 2.38x fair
Anytime Scorer
Memphis Depay
Netherlands · Corinthians
40%@ 2.50x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly