How it finished
Neom SC beat Al Fateh 4–2. Bawler's model had Neom SC in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Neom SC had 21 shots (6 on target) to Al Fateh's 13 (7), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Neom SC vs Al Fateh?
Neom SC beat Al Fateh 4–2. Bawler's model had Neom SC in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Neom SC had 21 shots (6 on target) to Al Fateh's 13 (7), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?
Neom SC 4–2 Al Fateh, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Neom SC 48%, the draw 25% and Al Fateh 26%.
What were the stats in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.1, Shots 21–13, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 15–9, Big chances 2–3, Corners 11–3, Saves 5–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?
Yes — both Neom SC and Al Fateh scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Neom SC vs Al Fateh right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Neom SC or draw 74%, it finished Neom SC won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.