Moreirense vs Braga prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK
Moreirense 33Draw 34Braga 33
The call
72%
Over 1.5 goals
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Moreirense and Braga drew 2–2. Bawler's model had the draw in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Moreirense had 7 shots (3 on target) to Braga's 13 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.5.

MoreirenseFull-time statsBraga
36%Possession64%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.5
7Shots13
3Shots on target4
2Shots inside box9
1Big chances2
4Corners2
2Saves1
15Fouls20
0Offsides3
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultDraw 34%Draw (34% called)
Total goals2.44
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 72%Landed
Second callBTTS No 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals78%
Braga to score70%
Moreirense to score69%
Over 1.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Moreirense vs Braga?

Moreirense and Braga drew 2–2. Bawler's model had the draw in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Moreirense had 7 shots (3 on target) to Braga's 13 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Moreirense vs Braga?

Moreirense 2–2 Braga, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moreirense 33%, the draw 34% and Braga 33%.

What were the stats in Moreirense vs Braga?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.5, Shots 7–13, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 2–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 15–20, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Moreirense vs Braga?

Yes — both Moreirense and Braga scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Moreirense vs Braga right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Draw 34%, it finished Draw (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS No 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Moreirense form →Braga form →