FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Dinamo Minsk 0–0 BragaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Dinamo Minsk at 40%, draw at 28%, Braga at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was Dinamo Minsk to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Minsk win
40%
Draw
28%
Actual ✓
Braga win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Dinamo Minsk or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✓ Won