Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Minnesota's 0.72 xG edge and 78% Over 1.5 Goals probability signal a mismatch in attacking threat that should deliver goals.
Minnesota United average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (27 competitive matches). San Diego average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Minnesota United vs San Diego — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Minnesota United and San Diego — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Minnesota United 51% · draw 27% · San Diego 21%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.