Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK
Minnesota United FC 51Draw 27San Diego FC 21
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Minnesota United FC and San Diego FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Minnesota United FC had 14 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 13 (2), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.

Minnesota…Full-time statsSan Diego FC
32%Possession68%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.5
14Shots13
8Shots on target2
8Shots inside box8
1Big chances2
8Corners4
1Saves7
8Fouls3
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultMinnesota United FC 51%Draw (27% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Minnesota United FC to score85%
Over 1.5 goals82%
San Diego FC to score70%
Under 3.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who won Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC?

Minnesota United FC and San Diego FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Minnesota United FC had 14 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 13 (2), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC?

Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Diego FC, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 51%, the draw 27% and San Diego FC 21%.

What were the stats in Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC?

Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.5, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–2, Corners 8–4, Saves 1–7, Fouls 8–3, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC?

Yes — both Minnesota United FC and San Diego FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Minnesota United FC 51%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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