Middlesbrough vs Millwall prediction — Championship · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK
50Middlesbrough win26Draw24Millwall win
Full time
2–2

How it finished

Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.

MiddlesbroughFull-time statsMillwall
80%Possession20%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.5
22Shots11
7Shots on target4
12Shots inside box11
2Big chances3
14Corners1
2Saves5
3Fouls12
4Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Middlesbrough win (11%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.1
2.7 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughMillwallMillwall
1.6Goals1.1
16.7Shots9.4
5.3On target3.1
4.7Corners4.3
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughMillwallMillwall
0.7Goals0.3
7.8Shots4.2
2.3On target1.3
2.2Corners2.0
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughMillwallMillwall
0.9Goals0.7
8.9Shots5.2
3.0On target1.7
2.5Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

Middlesbrough to score81%
2 or more goals76%
3 goals or fewer71%
Millwall to score66%
Goal before half-time66%

First half — what we expected

Middlesbrough
52%
to score before half-time
Millwall
29%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughMillwallMillwall
61%7+ shots18%
38%9+ shots<10%
87%1+ shots on target69%
40%3+ shots on target17%
84%1+ corners82%
37%3+ corners33%

League position

Millwall in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall
Aug 2025Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough
Apr 2025Millwall 1–0 Middlesbrough
Dec 2024Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
Jan 2024Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Middlesbrough form →Millwall form →

Common questions

Who won Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 50%, the draw 26% and Millwall 24%.

What were the stats in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 80%–20%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.5, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 12–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 14–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 3–12, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?

Yes — both Middlesbrough and Millwall scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.