Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.
Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 50%, the draw 26% and Millwall 24%.
Full-time: Possession 80%–20%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.5, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 12–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 14–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 3–12, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Middlesbrough and Millwall scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.