Bawler's model rates this match: Leyton Orient are favoured (38% win probability vs 34% for Bradford City, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Leyton Orient 1-1 Bradford City (13.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.55.
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Leyton Orient 38%, the draw 28% and Bradford City 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.32 and away expected goals 1.23.
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.55. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).