LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 03:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 03:30 UK
LA Galaxy 36Draw 25Seattle Sounders FC 39
Our call before kickoff
64%
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

LA Galaxy and Seattle Sounders FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LA Galaxy had 18 shots (5 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 17 (8), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.7.

LA GalaxyFull-time statsSeattle…
48%Possession52%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.7
18Shots17
5Shots on target8
11Shots inside box12
1Big chances1
5Corners3
7Saves4
9Fouls15
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSeattle Sounders FC or draw 64%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LA GalaxySeattle Sounders FC
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.6
14.1
Shots+1.3
15.5
5.4
On target+0.2
5.6
5.1
Corners+0.4
5.5
LA GalaxySeattle Sounders FC
0.5
Goals
0.5
6.5
Shots+0.3
6.8
2.5
On target+0.1
2.4
2.4
Corners+0.2
2.6
LA GalaxySeattle Sounders FC
1.0
Goals
1.0
7.7
Shots+1.0
8.7
2.9
On target+0.3
3.2
2.7
Corners+0.2
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Seattle Sounders FC to score79%
LA Galaxy to score78%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

LA Galaxy
52%
to score before half-time
Seattle Sounders FC
53%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

LA GalaxySeattle Sounders FC
6.51st-half shots6.8
2.51st-half shots on target2.4
2.41st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

58%Chance of 6+ shots61%
34%Chance of 8+ shots37%
67%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
26%Chance of 4+ shots on target23%
64%Chance of 2+ corners68%
24%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · LA Galaxy6.57.7
Shots · Seattle Sounders FC6.88.7
Shots on target · LA Galaxy2.52.9
Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC2.43.2
Corners · LA Galaxy2.42.7
Corners · Seattle Sounders FC2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LA Galaxy 2 · Draws 1 · Seattle Sounders FC 2
Seattle Sounders FC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Seattle Sounders FC 0–2 LA Galaxy
Sept 2025Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 LA Galaxy
Aug 2025LA Galaxy 0–2 Seattle Sounders FC
Aug 2025LA Galaxy 0–4 Seattle Sounders FC
Dec 2024LA Galaxy 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC?

LA Galaxy and Seattle Sounders FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LA Galaxy had 18 shots (5 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 17 (8), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.7.

What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC?

LA Galaxy 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 36%, the draw 25% and Seattle Sounders FC 39%.

What were the stats in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.7, Shots 18–17, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 11–12, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–3, Saves 7–4, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Yes — both LA Galaxy and Seattle Sounders FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 64%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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