LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.
LA Galaxy 3–2 Colorado Rapids, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 39%, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 36%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.8, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–20, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both LA Galaxy and Colorado Rapids scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 64%, it finished LA Galaxy won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.