LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 03:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 03:30 UK
39LA Galaxy win25Draw36Colorado Rapids win
Our call before kickoff
64%
LA Galaxy or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.

LA GalaxyFull-time statsColorado…
40%Possession60%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.8
15Shots9
7Shots on target4
10Shots inside box7
3Big chances4
5Corners6
2Saves5
13Fouls20
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLA Galaxy or draw 64%LA Galaxy won (39% called)
Total goals3.15
Both teams to score62%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals82%
Goal before half-time81%
LA Galaxy to score80%
Colorado Rapids to score78%
3 goals or fewer62%
Both teams score62%
3 or more goals60%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LA GalaxyLA GalaxyColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1.6Goals1.5
13.5Shots13.6
4.5On target5.0
4.6Corners5.3
LA GalaxyLA GalaxyColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
0.8Goals0.9
6.2Shots6.1
2.1On target2.5
2.1Corners2.5
LA GalaxyLA GalaxyColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
0.8Goals0.7
7.3Shots7.5
2.4On target2.5
2.4Corners2.8

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

LA Galaxy
55%
to score before half-time
Colorado Rapids
58%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LA GalaxyLA GalaxyColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
68%5+ shots67%
42%7+ shots41%
84%1+ shots on target88%
35%3+ shots on target43%
84%1+ corners88%
35%3+ corners43%

League position

Colorado Rapids in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Colorado Rapids 4–1 LA Galaxy
Aug 2025LA Galaxy 3–0 Colorado Rapids
Jun 2025Colorado Rapids 2–0 LA Galaxy
Nov 2024Colorado Rapids 1–4 LA Galaxy
Oct 2024LA Galaxy 5–0 Colorado Rapids
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

LA Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. LA Galaxy had 15 shots (7 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 9 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 1.8, so Colorado Rapids created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

LA Galaxy 3–2 Colorado Rapids, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 39%, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 36%.

What were the stats in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.8, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–20, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

Yes — both LA Galaxy and Colorado Rapids scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 64%, it finished LA Galaxy won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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