Match prediction·TURKEY: Super Lig·Saturday 15 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
42.0% home31.6% draw26.3% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
KonyasporstepCaykur Rizespor
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Konyaspor average 5.6 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Not both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
21%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Konyaspor and Caykur Rizespor — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Konyaspor 42% · draw 32% · Caykur Rizespor 26%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.