Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK prediction — Süper Lig · Mon 24 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Mon 24 Aug · 19:30 UK
Kocaelispor 40Draw 28Amed SFK 32
The call
68%
Kocaelispor or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 15hUntil lineups lock

Three forecasts on this match

High
Kocaelispor or draw
68%
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Outside
Draw
28%

Every market the model rates

Kocaelispor or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS51%
Kocaelispor win to nil23%
Amed SFK or draw60%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Correct score 1–113%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L D L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5KOC 1 · D 0 · AME 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2025Kocaelispor 1–0 Amed Sportif
Sept 2024Amed Sportif 3–0 Kocaelispor
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK?

Bawler's model rates this match: Kocaelispor are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Amed SFK, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Kocaelispor 1-1 Amed SFK (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Kocaelispor 40%, the draw 28% and Amed SFK 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Kocaelispor vs Amed SFK?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
Amed SFK
Before this
16 AugHErzurum BB30 W
All fixtures & results →Kocaelispor form →Amed SFK form →