Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction — Premiership · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK

Premiership · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK
Kilmarnock 40Draw 29Celtic 30
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–5

How it finished

Celtic beat Kilmarnock 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Celtic 30%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Kilmarnock had 10 shots (6 on target) to Celtic's 33 (16), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 5.6.

KilmarnockFull-time statsCeltic
36%Possession64%
0.9Expected goals (xG)5.6
10Shots33
6Shots on target16
10Shots inside box29
1Big chances10
5Corners7
11Saves4
12Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKilmarnock 40%Celtic (30% called)
Total goals3.06
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second call1X 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Kilmarnock to score81%
Celtic to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Celtic beat Kilmarnock 5–1. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Celtic 30%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Kilmarnock had 10 shots (6 on target) to Celtic's 33 (16), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 5.6.

What was the final score in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kilmarnock 40%, the draw 29% and Celtic 30%.

What were the stats in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–5.6, Shots 10–33, Shots on target 6–16, Shots inside box 10–29, Big chances 1–10, Corners 5–7, Saves 11–4, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Yes — both Kilmarnock and Celtic scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kilmarnock vs Celtic right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Kilmarnock 40%, it finished Celtic (30% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Kilmarnock form →Celtic form →