Kauno Zalgiris beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kauno Zalgiris 14%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Kauno Zalgiris had 8 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 12 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Kauno Zalgiris beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kauno Zalgiris 14%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Kauno Zalgiris had 8 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 12 (4), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.5.
Kauno Zalgiris 1–0 Besiktas, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kauno Zalgiris 14%, the draw 20% and Besiktas 66%.
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 2–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Besiktas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Besiktas to win 66%, it finished Kauno Zalgiris won (14% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.