How it finished
Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Ararat-Armenia 3–1. Jagiellonia Bialystok had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 15 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.9.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Ararat-Armenia 3–1. Jagiellonia Bialystok had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ararat-Armenia's 15 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 3–1 Ararat-Armenia, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Jagiellonia Bialystok 66%, the draw 20% and Ararat-Armenia 14%.
What were the stats in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.9, Shots 14–15, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 22–14, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
Yes — both Jagiellonia Bialystok and Ararat-Armenia scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.