Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 2.5 Goals projects at 72% because combined xG of 2.67 and Ecuador's narrow 6-point win-probability edge over Ivory Coast (37% vs 31%) both signal an open, attacking contest.
Ivory Coast average 7.7 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches). Ecuador average 6.7 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Ivory Coast and Ecuador — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Ivory Coast 31% · draw 32% · Ecuador 37%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.