What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Israel vs Republic of Ireland?
Bawler's model rates this match: Republic of Ireland are favoured (52% win probability vs 24% for Israel, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Israel vs Republic of Ireland?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Israel 1-1 Republic of Ireland (10.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.12.
How does Bawler predict Israel vs Republic of Ireland?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Israel 24%, the draw 24% and Republic of Ireland 52%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Israel vs Republic of Ireland?
BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.23 and away expected goals 1.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Israel vs Republic of Ireland?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.12. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).