Israel vs Kosovo prediction — UEFA Nations League · Thu 1 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Thu 1 Oct · 19:45 UK
15Israel win21Draw64Kosovo win
Our call before kickoff
64%
Kosovo to win
Missed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Israel and Kosovo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Kosovo at 64% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Israel had 10 shots (3 on target) to Kosovo's 18 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.7.

IsraelFull-time statsKosovo
45%Possession55%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.7
10Shots18
3Shots on target3
7Shots inside box7
3Big chances0
4Corners5
3Saves3
8Fouls7
2Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKosovo to win 64%Draw (21% called)
Total goals3.10
Both teams to score54%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

We expected
0–2
10% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
0.9v2.1
3.1 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

IsraelIsraelKosovoKosovo
0.9Goals2.1
IsraelIsraelKosovoKosovo
0.4Goals0.9
IsraelIsraelKosovoKosovo
0.5Goals1.2

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Kosovo to score88%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer63%
Israel to score61%

First half — what we expected

Israel
34%
to score before half-time
Kosovo
61%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2026Israel 0–0 Kosovo
Nov 2023Kosovo 1–0 Israel
Mar 2023Israel 1–1 Kosovo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Israel form →Kosovo form →

Common questions

Who won Israel vs Kosovo?

Israel and Kosovo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Kosovo at 64% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Israel had 10 shots (3 on target) to Kosovo's 18 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Israel vs Kosovo?

Israel 0–0 Kosovo, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Israel 15%, the draw 21% and Kosovo 64%.

What were the stats in Israel vs Kosovo?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.7, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–0.

Did both teams score in Israel vs Kosovo?

No. It finished 0–0, so Israel failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Israel vs Kosovo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Kosovo to win 64%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.