FT · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal · Sunday, 09 August 2026
Benfica 2–2 Académico de ViseuMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 09 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Benfica at 59%, draw at 27%, Académico de Viseu at 15%. Against expectation, the match finished 2-2. The model's headline call was Benfica to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Benfica win
59%
Draw
27%
Actual ✓
Viseu win
15%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 23%
✓ Won