Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
Goztepe 0–1 Genclerbirligi, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Goztepe 59%, the draw 23% and Genclerbirligi 18%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.5, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Goztepe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Goztepe 59%, it finished Genclerbirligi (18% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 82%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.