Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 17:45 UK
Go Ahead Eagles 34Draw 24FC Groningen 42
Our call before kickoff
66%
FC Groningen or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Groningen at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Go Ahead Eagles had 24 shots (6 on target) to FC Groningen's 4 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.2.

Go Ahead…Full-time statsFC Groningen
61%Possession39%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.2
24Shots4
6Shots on target2
18Shots inside box2
5Big chances0
9Corners0
1Saves5
8Fouls10
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Groningen or draw 66%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.32
Both teams to score65%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Go Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.7
18.5
Shots+2.8
21.3
9.5
On target+1.1
8.3
7.1
Corners+0.3
6.7
Go Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
0.5
Goals
0.5
8.0
Shots+1.8
9.8
4.2
On target+0.3
3.8
3.3
Corners+0.2
3.2
Go Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
1.0
Goals+0.2
1.2
10.5
Shots+1.0
11.5
5.3
On target+0.8
4.5
3.7
Corners+0.2
3.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Groningen to score82%
Go Ahead Eagles to score79%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Go Ahead Eagles
50%
to score before half-time
FC Groningen
54%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Go Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
8.01st-half shots9.8
4.21st-half shots on target3.8
3.31st-half corners3.2

First-half chances

40%Chance of 9+ shots60%
22%Chance of 11+ shots40%
75%Chance of 3+ shots on target70%
40%Chance of 5+ shots on target34%
79%Chance of 2+ corners77%
41%Chance of 4+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Go Ahead Eagles8.010.5
Shots · FC Groningen9.811.5
Shots on target · Go Ahead Eagles4.25.3
Shots on target · FC Groningen3.84.5
Corners · Go Ahead Eagles3.33.7
Corners · FC Groningen3.23.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Go Ahead Eagles 2 · Draws 3 · FC Groningen 0
FC Groningen in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026FC Groningen 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles
Dec 2025Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen
Jan 2025Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 FC Groningen
Sept 2024FC Groningen 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles
May 2023Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Groningen at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Go Ahead Eagles had 24 shots (6 on target) to FC Groningen's 4 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Go Ahead Eagles 34%, the draw 24% and FC Groningen 42%.

What were the stats in Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.2, Shots 24–4, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 18–2, Big chances 5–0, Corners 9–0, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen?

Yes — both Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Groningen or draw 66%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Go Ahead Eagles form →FC Groningen form →