Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Saturday 18 Jul, 21:00 UTC

France vs England — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 75.1% · @ 1.33
VALUE
France to win
Model 50.1% · @ 2.00
DARK HORSE
England to win
Model 26.6% · @ 3.77
BAWL OUT
23+ shots in the match + Over 1.5 goals + France or draw + Fewer than 11 corners
Model 31.4% · @ 3.19x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Harry Kane
England · Bayern Munich
60%@ 1.67x fair
Anytime Scorer
Kylian Mbappé
France · Real Madrid
55%@ 1.82x fair
Anytime Scorer
Marcus Thuram
France · Inter Milan
42%@ 2.38x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly