Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 15:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 22 Aug · 15:30 UK
Fortuna Sittard 23Draw 24AZ Alkmaar 53
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 2–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 4 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 26 (11), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 4.3.

Fortuna…Full-time statsAZ Alkmaar
28%Possession72%
0.4Expected goals (xG)4.3
4Shots26
2Shots on target11
2Shots inside box18
1Big chances5
1Corners15
9Saves2
9Fouls11
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAZ Alkmaar 53%AZ Alkmaar (53% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score59%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second callAway Win 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
AZ Alkmaar to score85%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Fortuna Sittard to score69%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FOR 2 · D 0 · AZA 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard
Dec 2025Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar
Feb 2025AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
Oct 2024Fortuna Sittard 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 2–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 4 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 26 (11), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 4.3.

What was the final score in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fortuna Sittard 23%, the draw 24% and AZ Alkmaar 53%.

What were the stats in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–4.3, Shots 4–26, Shots on target 2–11, Shots inside box 2–18, Big chances 1–5, Corners 1–15, Saves 9–2, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

No. It finished 0–2, so Fortuna Sittard failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AZ Alkmaar 53%, it finished AZ Alkmaar (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Away Win 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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