Falkirk vs Dundee prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
51Falkirk win26Draw24Dundee win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Dundee beat Falkirk 2–1. Falkirk had 16 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 23 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.5, so Falkirk created the better chances and still lost the game.

FalkirkFull-time statsDundee
55%Possession45%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.5
16Shots23
5Shots on target10
11Shots inside box17
1Big chances2
3Corners10
8Saves4
12Fouls11
1Offsides1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Falkirk win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.1
2.8 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
52%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FalkirkFalkirkDundeeDundee
1.7Goals1.1
16.8Shots14.8
3.2On target4.9
4.9Corners5.4
FalkirkFalkirkDundeeDundee
0.8Goals0.7
8.3Shots7.0
1.5On target2.3
2.3Corners2.5
FalkirkFalkirkDundeeDundee
0.8Goals0.4
8.6Shots7.9
1.7On target2.7
2.6Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

Falkirk to score81%
Goal before half-time78%
2 or more goals76%
3 goals or fewer70%
Dundee to score66%

First half — what we expected

Falkirk
57%
to score before half-time
Dundee
50%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FalkirkFalkirkDundeeDundee
66%7+ shots51%
43%9+ shots29%
73%1+ shots on target86%
21%3+ shots on target39%
62%2+ corners67%
22%4+ corners26%

League position

Dundee in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Falkirk 1–0 Dundee FC
Dec 2025Dundee FC 1–0 Falkirk
Oct 2025Falkirk 2–1 Dundee FC
Dec 2022Falkirk 0–3 Dundee FC
Aug 2022Dundee FC 3–0 Falkirk
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Falkirk form →Dundee form →

Common questions

Who won Falkirk vs Dundee?

Dundee beat Falkirk 2–1. Falkirk had 16 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 23 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.5, so Falkirk created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Falkirk vs Dundee?

Falkirk 1–2 Dundee, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Falkirk 51%, the draw 26% and Dundee 24%.

What were the stats in Falkirk vs Dundee?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.5, Shots 16–23, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 11–17, Big chances 1–2, Corners 3–10, Saves 8–4, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in Falkirk vs Dundee?

Yes — both Falkirk and Dundee scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.