FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Dundee 2–2 RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Rangers or draw at 81%. Bawler had Dundee at 19%, the draw at 23% and Rangers at 58%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Dundee win
19%
Draw
23%
Result
Rangers win
58%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 1.9
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Rangers or draw
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 55%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.