FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Hibernian 1–2 FalkirkMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Hibernian or draw at 76%. Bawler had Hibernian at 51%, the draw at 25% and Falkirk at 24%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Hibernian win
51%
Draw
25%
Falkirk win
24%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 55%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.