FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Aberdeen 0–1 FalkirkMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Aberdeen win
39%
Draw
28%
Falkirk win
34%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.