FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Dundee 3–1 KilmarnockMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Dundee win
47%
Result
Draw
25%
Kilmarnock win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.