Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.
Elche 2–3 Real Madrid, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Elche 22%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 54%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–3.6, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 7–15, Big chances 1–5, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 4–2.
Yes — both Elche and Real Madrid scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.