Elche vs Real Madrid prediction — LaLiga · Tue 15 Sept · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Tue 15 Sept · 20:30 UK
22Elche win23Draw54Real Madrid win
Full time
2–3

How it finished

Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.

ElcheFull-time statsReal Madrid
56%Possession44%
0.9Expected goals (xG)3.6
11Shots20
3Shots on target4
7Shots inside box15
1Big chances5
2Corners5
2Saves1
21Fouls8
1Offsides5
4Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Real Madrid win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.2v1.9
3.1 in total
Both teams score
59%
Leans yes
3+ goals
60%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

ElcheElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
1.2Goals1.9
9.8Shots19.9
4.0On target13.0
4.3Corners10.9
ElcheElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
0.4Goals0.9
4.5Shots9.8
1.6On target6.4
2.0Corners5.1
ElcheElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
0.8Goals1.1
5.3Shots10.1
2.4On target6.7
2.3Corners5.8

What we said the chances were

Real Madrid to score86%
2 or more goals82%
Goal before half-time72%
Elche to score69%
3 goals or fewer62%

First half — what we expected

Elche
33%
to score before half-time
Real Madrid
58%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

ElcheElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
<10%9+ shots59%
<10%11+ shots39%
<10%5+ shots on target72%
<10%7+ shots on target44%
17%4+ corners71%
<10%6+ corners40%

League position

Real Madrid in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Real Madrid 4–1 Elche
Nov 2025Elche 2–2 Real Madrid
Feb 2023Real Madrid 4–0 Elche
Oct 2022Elche 0–3 Real Madrid
Jan 2022Real Madrid 2–2 Elche
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Elche form →Real Madrid form →

Common questions

Who won Elche vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.

What was the final score in Elche vs Real Madrid?

Elche 2–3 Real Madrid, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Elche 22%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 54%.

What were the stats in Elche vs Real Madrid?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–3.6, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 7–15, Big chances 1–5, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Elche vs Real Madrid?

Yes — both Elche and Real Madrid scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.