FC Augsburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Eintracht Frankfurt at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Augsburg 28%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Eintracht Frankfurt had 22 shots (8 on target) to FC Augsburg's 17 (7), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.3, so Eintracht Frankfurt created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Augsburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Eintracht Frankfurt at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Augsburg 28%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Eintracht Frankfurt had 22 shots (8 on target) to FC Augsburg's 17 (7), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.3, so Eintracht Frankfurt created the better chances and still lost the game.
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 FC Augsburg, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Eintracht Frankfurt 48%, the draw 24% and FC Augsburg 28%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.3, Shots 22–17, Shots on target 8–7, Shots inside box 17–9, Big chances 4–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 4–7, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 72%, it finished FC Augsburg won (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.