Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelEgnatia on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Egnatia v Lincoln Red Imps prediction
Our model makes Egnatia favourites for this Conference League game, giving them a 52% chance of winning. Lincoln Red Imps are 21% and the draw is 27%. Our predicted score is Egnatia 1–0 Lincoln Red Imps, the likeliest Egnatia win score (13%). We expect 2.5 goals in total: 1.6 for Egnatia and 0.9 for Lincoln Red Imps. There is a 48% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 46%.
On form, Egnatia have three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six games, and Lincoln Red Imps have five wins, no draws and one defeat.
We expect Egnatia to have 18.7 shots (7.9 on target) and Lincoln Red Imps 8.4 (2.9 on target), and corners at 6.3 to 3.5. That points to Egnatia doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick combines Egnatia or Draw, Egnatia Over 14.5 Shots and Egnatia Over 5.5 Shots on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 50%, a fair price of Evens (2.00).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Egnatia · last 6
Lincoln Red Imps · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Egnatia or draw is 79% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Bawler's model rates this match: Egnatia are favoured (52% win probability vs 21% for Lincoln Red Imps, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Bawler's predicted score is Egnatia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps: the most likely score if Egnatia win, which is the likeliest result (52%). Our model puts that exact score at 12.5%. Expected total goals: 2.5.
How does Bawler predict Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Egnatia 52%, the draw 27% and Lincoln Red Imps 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Egnatia expecting 1.60 goals and Lincoln Red Imps 0.94.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Bawler's model expects 2.5 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 46%.
When are the Egnatia v Lincoln Red Imps line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Egnatia v Lincoln Red Imps?
Egnatia or Draw (79%), Egnatia Over 14.5 Shots (77%), Egnatia Over 5.5 Shots on Target (76%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 50% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.00). 18+, please gamble responsibly.