FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
AGF 1–1 EgnatiaMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AGF win
67%
Draw
20%
Result
Egnatia win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 0.9
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.