FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
CSU Craiova 2–0 EgnatiaMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
CSU Craiova win
59%
Result
Draw
24%
Egnatia win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 0.9
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.