FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026
SK Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red ImpsMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was SK Brann to win at 77%. Bawler had SK Brann at 77%, the draw at 16% and Lincoln Red Imps at 7%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
SK Brann win
77%
Result
Draw
16%
Lincoln Red Imps win
7%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.7
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
SK Brann to win
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 39%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.