Match prediction·Scotland: Scottish Prem·Saturday 22 Aug, 16:45 UTC

Dundee United vs Dundee

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
49.4% home29.0% draw21.6% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Dundee UnitedstepDundee
1.76Base xG · rolling 26-match1.11
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.76Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.11

Dundee United average 5.3 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches). Dundee average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
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0
6
6
3
1
1
10
11
6
2
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9
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5
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6
home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Dundee United vs Dundee — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 26 April 2026, Dundee United have won 1, Dundee have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
26 April 2026Dundee United 30 DundeeSCOTLAND: Premiership - Relegation Group

The model's verdict for this fixture: Dundee United 49% · draw 29% · Dundee 22%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.