Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Ivory Coast's Away Win dominates at 83% probability, built on a crushing 2.24 xG advantage led by striker Sébastien Haller's creation of 22% of team chances.
Ivory Coast average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Curaçao and Ivory Coast — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Curaçao 3% · draw 14% · Ivory Coast 83%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.