Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelCrystal Palace on top, and Yéremi Pino getting plenty of shots away.
Crystal Palace v Hull City prediction
Our model makes Crystal Palace clear favourites for this Premier League game, with a 66% chance of winning. Hull City are given 14%, and the draw 20%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Crystal Palace 2–0 Hull City, at 11%. We expect 3.1 goals in total: 2.2 for Crystal Palace and 0.9 for Hull City. Both teams scoring is 52% and three or more goals is 59%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Crystal Palace and Hull City have two wins each, with one draw. When they last met, it finished Crystal Palace 4–0 Hull City, in May 2017. On shots, our forecast is 18.5 for Crystal Palace and 9.7 for Hull City, with 6.0 and 3.2 on target, and corners at 6.8 to 3.4. So we expect Crystal Palace to do more of the shooting.
On form, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and three defeats from their last six games, and Hull City have no wins, three draws and three defeats. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Crystal Palace or Draw, Crystal Palace Over 14.5 Shots and Yéremi Pino 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 48% on our numbers, so the fair price is 11/10, or 2.09.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Crystal Palace · last 6
Hull City · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Crystal Palace to win is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Bawler's model rates this match: Crystal Palace are favoured (66% win probability vs 14% for Hull City, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Bawler's predicted score is Crystal Palace 2-0 Hull City: the most likely score if Crystal Palace win, which is the likeliest result (66%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.9%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Crystal Palace 66%, the draw 20% and Hull City 14%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. That is based on Crystal Palace expecting 2.18 goals and Hull City 0.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 59%.
When are the Crystal Palace v Hull City line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Crystal Palace v Hull City?
Crystal Palace or Draw (86%), Crystal Palace Over 14.5 Shots (76%), Yéremi Pino 2+ Shots (67%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.09). 18+, please gamble responsibly.