FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Crystal Palace 1–3 LiverpoolMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Liverpool or Draw✓
Liverpool Over 11.5 Shots✓
Bradley Barcola 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Crystal Palace win
29%
Draw
25%
Liverpool win
46%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.7
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 2.7
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.